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Government is preparing for the 3rd wave of Covid-19. Scientists has declared that the country has passed the peak of the second wave.
Co-chair of the Ministerial Advisory Committee on COVID-19, Professor Salim Abdool Karim said that the third wave of the COVID-19 virus is anticipated to begin around June this year, and said that epidemiologists are hard at work studying the possible challenges that await.
Abdool explains that they have studied the behavior of the virus and the dynamics of this virus. This says that they can expect the 3rd wave or 4th wave during the course of the year.
“When we look at how it has behaved up until now, we can anticipate that the third wave is likely to occur at the early part of our winter, and then the fourth probably in our summer,” he said.
1st and 2nd wave shows to be deadly, in preparation the government is planing to vaccine a very high number of South African population including those who doesn’t have legal papers.
“If it creates a new variant, like it did in our second wave. We are likely to see quite a severe third wave. If it doesn’t, it will be less severe. We don’t really have much experience with third waves from other countries because they’re all in the same boat as us,” he said.
Abdool explains that there are ways in forming a new variant. All of these possible mechanisms for mutation must be meticulously studied.
“The first is by jumping species, which we saw in Denmark when workers on the mink farms transmitted it to the mink. Once in the minks, the virus mutated and began transmitting the virus back to the farm workers,” he said.
Moderna, Pfizer, AstraZeneca and the Russian vaccine Sputnik V vaccines, the findings shows relatively strong success in preventing the spread of Covid-19.
“The problem is, we don’t know if they work as well against the 501.v.2 variant,” he said.
By June 2021, 3rd wave to loom in an probabilities are the 4th wave can be expected. This is based on studies. The whole of 2021 South Africa can expect to be under lockdown as health precautions.